Thomas Mathai
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There should be legions of potential Kubricks and Waters making cinema. It should be no more inaccessible than making an oil painting or writing a novel-- by that I mean: your greatest expense should be the amount of personal labor you want to expend in the doing of it. Should it cost money? Of course, there are expenses, but the goal is reachable for the average working person, not just somebody with a rich uncle.
Those legions of potenial Kubricks and Waters will stay mostly unknown. The base level for "quality" just changes.
Even in a room full of geniuses, there's the smart one and the idiot. :laugh:
The cost to make an oil painting or write a novel is inexpensive. Try selling it though. Then you deal with similar forces you would as a filmmaker. Painting or writing for personal creativity is one thing, to do it as a living is another.
Unlike painting and writing, film making is more collaborative. I think only animation could be done by a single person, and even then there may be aspects the animator would want a collaborator on.
There's always going to be other factors than cost of the tools that make it hard to get a film done, let alone done well. We're already seeing some of the immediate affects of affordable tools, some good, some bad:
Lots of creative work being done worldwide. It's amazing how much talent is out there, and plenty of ways to show off skills and learn new ones.
Studios taking work overseas because the quality is good and getting better while the costs are cheaper.
It's cheaper to build a studio and work for yourself, instead of spending years working up the ladder.
There is tons of content available to the consumer. So much content that it's getting harder to make money without lots of marketing.
It's much easier to find the tools to do your own marketing, as long as you are willing to put in the effort yourself.
Patronage is coming back in the form of websites like Indie Go-GO and Kickstarter. Filmmakers have been raising money from donors, pitching their ideas and finding funds to move forward with projects that may have otherwise been just sitting in a drawer.
The independent film market is in flux, and hopefully work itself out.
For the most part I suspect, we'll have the art house filmmaker who get to jet set to the big film festivals, occasionally get to do a studio project here and there, and get to make their films within a reasonable budget.
I see an emerging class of the working class filmmaker who make their films on tiny budgets, maybe supplement their incomes with side jobs here and there. These filmmakers may be regional, gaining reputation in a particular area, may never be gain national or international notoriety, but has a dedicated following.
The cost of film didn't stopped Roger Corman and the other indie mavericks who made films on the cheap.
Maybe for some people if it's too easy, it's not worth doing.