Brian Boyer
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Indeed I do. Please follow this link Terry: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Election_threshold
It has been a while since I had Statistics in college but I don't think the Election Threshold is measuring the statistical probability of the outcome of an election. It's used to determine if the number of votes received was big enough for a party to have gained a seat in government.
Election polls are about a probable outcome based on a statistically significant sample size. In U.S. elections, most polls are <1,500 people and used to represent 200 million people, with a standard deviation +/- 2-3 percentage points.
http://www.pollingreport.com/ncpp.htm