Chris Kenny
Well-known member
You mean the same way as you predict fixes and how Apple will solve everything "very soon" and so on? You might have information directly from Apple that no one has? Or are you also saying stuff in the absence of actual information?
I have never claimed Apple would solve "everything", and I'm pretty sure "very soon" is also not a direct quote. I have pointed out that Apple has told various parties that solutions to certain problems are being worked on (which is a factual statement, unless you want to accuse Pogue, Studio Daily, etc. of lying), and I have pointed to features of the existing product which appear to contradict the "Apple doesn't care about pro users" argument.
My view of Apple's motivations has lead to two accurate predictions on the two big issues with respect to FCP X over the last year: a) that Apple would rewrite FCP (a position with which the "Apple doesn't care about pro users" crowd seriously contested at the time) and b) that the rewrite probably wouldn't have a strict superset of FCP 7 features and might very well have a significantly different UI (something which now appears to surprise many people).
But yes, I recognize that this is the Internet, where being right doesn't give you any sort of credibility, if people don't already want to agree with what you're saying.
The "imaginary" predictions comes from looking back at how Apple both treated the professional community and how their philosophy around communication is. It's predictions made out of how Apple has done stuff before. I don't see them changing over night. If I wake up and see them officially starting to talk about their development well, that's a paradigm shift which would be revolutionary to say the least.
They don't need to change overnight, because they don't, I don't think, have the priorities you think they do. People have been misreading Apple on this subject basically since the release of FCS3, where many people read a lack of interest in the pro market into the fact that the update wasn't as big as some had wanted. I pointed out long before FCP X was announced that this was probably in large part because Apple had already shifted its focus to a major rewrite, and others argued against this, claiming there would be no such rewrite.
Again, sharing work on Vimeo is not the same thing as final delivery to Vimeo. Apple changed their focus on delivery, it's about delivery to the net, not delivery through colorists, sound designers, telecine etc.
This is a seriously weak argument. The menu containing all the export-related functions in the app is called 'Share'. This is simply Apple's new standard top-level menu for exporting things to various formats. It's pretty clear the only reason FCP 7 had the redundancy between 'Export' and 'Share' in the first place is because it already had an export feature, and the share feature was grafted on later.
As said, you don't know Apples motivations. How can YOU say that what you think they will do is more likely then what I and others say?
Your theory is that FCP X is missing certain pro features because Apple doesn't care about the pro market. But this is inconsistent with the fact that FCP X has other pro features. In fact, it's inconsistent with the fact that FCP X exists at all, as demonstrated by the fact that a year ago, the "Apple doesn't care about pro users" crowd was predicting Apple wouldn't rewrite FCP at all.
Meanwhile, my theory is that FCP X is missing certain pro features because Apple shipped it as soon as it was a commercially viable app, rather than waiting around until it had every feature all existing FCP 7 users needed. This is consistent with the fact that it exists, consistent with the fact that it has some pro features, consistent with the fact that this product is called "Final Cut Pro" and was introduced at a pro event, and consistent with Apple's past behavior with respect to leaving major features out of initial releases.
So, in answer to your question, I think my predictions are more likely to be accurate because they're based on a theory more consistent with available data.
As I see it, the supporters of FCPX dismiss EVERYTHING that we say and hide behind "don't punch me and call me a fanboy". I'm not really doing that I'm answering what you said.
That is not a remotely accurate characterization of my position. I have acknowledged that there are major feature omissions I have said that I, myself, cannot use FCP X for most projects at this time as a consequence of those omissions. And in point of fact, I ignored about the first dozen "fanboy" claims; I only started calling people out on them when people started using them as an excuse not to engage with the substance of my arguments.