Meryem Ersoz
Well-known member
Originally posted by Lee Fingersh
OK. One word: inevitability.
History always looks inevitable in hindsight, it smooths away the many bumps in the road. But there is always a convergence of many fortuitous events that allow technologies to gain traction. The dustbins of technology are loaded with great ideas which lacked traction. I don't think there is much that is inevitable about the trajectories of new technologies. A lot of things have to line up to enable success on such a massive scale.
I can think of many reasons why 1080 delivery has lacked the traction it has deserved as a good idea. Price point has been a big one. And one thing RED has shown a will to do is reduce price points, to enable users and consumers to feel like they are getting a screaming deal, relative to what is out there.
RED has also shown a will to put their best technology forward at every possible opportunity, and, if it shows flaws, to correct them.
These are huge leaps forward in the model of doing business in technology, which often mean even more than the technology itself -
In terms of technology, there are as good and even better companies out there, in terms of pure technology. But no one seems able to match the RED business model for pure will to revolutionize industries.
Although it is easy to look into the past and claim that innovations were somehow inevitable, it is very, very hard to see five minutes into the future of technology, let alone five years, because so many stars have to align to allow a company to compete on the scale which RED has already proven it can do.
In their favor, RED will have loads of cameras in the hands of users, and those users will want to deliver the best that the camera can offer. This, too, is a big advantage for RED - moreover, there will be other users of other, lesser camera systems who have been clamoring for better delivery ever since the Z1U and the other HDV baby steps hit the streets.
There is a pent-up demand for better delivery. Much as there was a pent-up demand for better camera systems.
For a really interesting window on the past ("past," snort, five years ago...!!!!) I think when Jim Jannard posted this thread back on DVInfo on September 14th, 2005, he was speaking to a large crowd nodding their heads in agreement. He was ready to kill the trickleware model:
http://www.dvinfo.net/forum/panason...orders/51044-hvx200-vs-z1-fx1-simple-guy.html
The death of the digital video camera trickleware business model needed a champion. And he has been that champion.
The diversity and complexity of delivery systems will make this a much harder giant to slay.
But I think with the release of the EPIC and SCARLET cameras, RED will have set itself up quite nicely to push this effort. And, as I said in a different thread, I think that RED RAY, the technology itself, has been moving along, we have yet to see all that this box can do. The curtain has not yet been lifted...I'm betting that once it is, we are going to see another quantum movement, not just a little burp in history but a real revolution, much like we have seen with the release of RED. New users finding new ways to deliver media from new content providers. A release of new people and new energy systems who will rally around these machines.
One thing is for certain, win or lose, I am going to enjoy my ringside seat on history being made, both as an owner/participant and also for the sheer voyeuristic pleasure that reduser affords!
Whether or not that is ultimately a ubiquitous 4K delivery system in my lifetime or not remains to be seen, but Jim Jannard has dealt himself a very strong hand.