Blair S. Paulsen
Well-known member
- Joined
- Dec 28, 2006
- Messages
- 5,503
- Reaction score
- 34
- Points
- 48
- Location
- San Diego, CA
- Website
- www.alacritymedia.com
The Law of Unintended Consequences
The Law of Unintended Consequences
Taking a seat on the sidelines for a moment, its actually kind of comical to watch the various stakeholders trip over themselves to manipulate the standards (HDMI. HEVC, etc) to their advantage. In many cases the players are actually on board with the proposed standard but will delay it so they can retrench and catch up with competitors - only to discover that their stall tactic actually helped a rival far more than it helped them.
In Stacey's response to Neil's note about Apple, he admonishes Apple to follow system standards. This viewpoint is presumably based on the frustrations of past interoperability problems in system design brought about by vendors "going rouge". Point taken.
That said, in an environment where the standards process itself has morphed into corporate cage match with the only sure losers being the consumer I'm ready to try plan B - could it really be worse? What would happen if Apple sussed out the whole enchilada - codec, DRM, interconnects, content access, purchase model, format, color space, GUI, etc? Music via iTunes has been pretty successful, why not video?
Amazon and the rest can pay a royalty fee and compete using Apple's technical framework, or develop their own - its up to them. Perhaps if the risk of losing the race to Apple was great enough the other stakeholders would bury the hatchet and get a decent standard fast tracked. Essentially the same dynamic seen when the threat of an external enemy brings rival factions together in the geopolitical arena. Based on recent history can we expect real progress without exigency? As a parent, I know the quickest way to end an argument over what TV show will be watched is to tell the bickering kids that if they don't agree to something in one minute I'm turning it off - works every time...
IAC, looking at the current landscape - which seems to be aimed at intentionally creating a standard with a limited shelf life as a tactic to shorten replacement cycles, companies behind the technological curve trying to retard progress while they catch up and jockeying for royalty revenue - I would argue that Apple engineering the UHD ecosystem by edict might actually be the best case scenario. Add to that, the potential for Thunderbolt (even at 10gb/s TB1 bandwidth) to become the ubiquitous interconnect standard for a plethora of devices and I'm seeing a potential lifeline out of this morass.
I'm sure there will be plenty of Apple haters ready to flame me, and I am hardly blind to how they have leveraged their position to their own advantage, but at least there's a very good chance that their ecosystem will provide the kind of user experience that could speed UHD adoption rates. For those of us looking to sell UHD content sooner than later, that counts.
Cheers - #19
The Law of Unintended Consequences
Taking a seat on the sidelines for a moment, its actually kind of comical to watch the various stakeholders trip over themselves to manipulate the standards (HDMI. HEVC, etc) to their advantage. In many cases the players are actually on board with the proposed standard but will delay it so they can retrench and catch up with competitors - only to discover that their stall tactic actually helped a rival far more than it helped them.
In Stacey's response to Neil's note about Apple, he admonishes Apple to follow system standards. This viewpoint is presumably based on the frustrations of past interoperability problems in system design brought about by vendors "going rouge". Point taken.
That said, in an environment where the standards process itself has morphed into corporate cage match with the only sure losers being the consumer I'm ready to try plan B - could it really be worse? What would happen if Apple sussed out the whole enchilada - codec, DRM, interconnects, content access, purchase model, format, color space, GUI, etc? Music via iTunes has been pretty successful, why not video?
Amazon and the rest can pay a royalty fee and compete using Apple's technical framework, or develop their own - its up to them. Perhaps if the risk of losing the race to Apple was great enough the other stakeholders would bury the hatchet and get a decent standard fast tracked. Essentially the same dynamic seen when the threat of an external enemy brings rival factions together in the geopolitical arena. Based on recent history can we expect real progress without exigency? As a parent, I know the quickest way to end an argument over what TV show will be watched is to tell the bickering kids that if they don't agree to something in one minute I'm turning it off - works every time...
IAC, looking at the current landscape - which seems to be aimed at intentionally creating a standard with a limited shelf life as a tactic to shorten replacement cycles, companies behind the technological curve trying to retard progress while they catch up and jockeying for royalty revenue - I would argue that Apple engineering the UHD ecosystem by edict might actually be the best case scenario. Add to that, the potential for Thunderbolt (even at 10gb/s TB1 bandwidth) to become the ubiquitous interconnect standard for a plethora of devices and I'm seeing a potential lifeline out of this morass.
I'm sure there will be plenty of Apple haters ready to flame me, and I am hardly blind to how they have leveraged their position to their own advantage, but at least there's a very good chance that their ecosystem will provide the kind of user experience that could speed UHD adoption rates. For those of us looking to sell UHD content sooner than later, that counts.
Cheers - #19