Imran Farouk
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Agreed, it will be a difficult transition. Considering most have just purchased 1080p TVs. The first set of TVs were 720p and marketed as HD then now 1080ps are marketed as 'true hd'. Double dipping in many ways.
I do think it would take the better part of 5 years for the industry to totally shift to 4K on a consumer level, perhaps even 7. Though this is always really dependent on economic climates. You can't really sell 4K to people who are going through economic recession and with the way things are going I wouldn't be surprised if thats where we are all headed, though that is a topic for a different discussion. With that said, 4K could then be forced to be cheaper and therefore hasten the 4K transition, knowing that time is short to make a quick buck or it could push the pricing down during a recession. If it is the latter we will see content and so on being forced out much quicker then expected because...well.. you can't market something like 4K without content. A lot of current stuff being done in 1080p will just have to stay that way, I hope to god they don't implement up-scaling in TV to compensate for the 1080p content on 4K but instead switch to say...1080p mode for 1080p content then 4K when 4K content is on, if that makes sense?
The final option would be that such a recession would lead to the pro-longing of 4K on the consumer level happening for a little longer than expected.
The recent adoptions of HD by the TV Industry and the upgrading of the pipelines I'm sure they had to do to make that happen is pretty recent as you say. So I'm guessing that we may see the third option happen but Stuart from RED said in the Scarlet forum on one of the threads (can't remember off the top of my head) when I mentioned that content delivery was going to take a while for web and so on, that I was off with my 10 year estimation and it would be much sooner. So probably RED has a method up their sleeve. If anything Jannard knows the economic situation so I'm sure he has a way in which to push 4K to the consumer level a lot faster and have everyone going 4K pretty quickly, as already seen with Canon and Sony as well as every other manufacturer trying to throw out a 4K camera by end of next year or the year after.
I'd love to see stuff like Bladerunner and the like at 4K resolution. It'd be so damn awesome. It'd probably be the only thing holding me back from getting 4K is the fact I have nothing to watch @ 4K. Well apart from Tom's TimeScapes trailer...but I'd prefer to see that sort of thing in the IMAX.
I can't imagine broadcasters being able to do 4K content that easily though any time soon, personally I'm thinking we'd go 2K then 4K. So basically another double dip.
I do think it would take the better part of 5 years for the industry to totally shift to 4K on a consumer level, perhaps even 7. Though this is always really dependent on economic climates. You can't really sell 4K to people who are going through economic recession and with the way things are going I wouldn't be surprised if thats where we are all headed, though that is a topic for a different discussion. With that said, 4K could then be forced to be cheaper and therefore hasten the 4K transition, knowing that time is short to make a quick buck or it could push the pricing down during a recession. If it is the latter we will see content and so on being forced out much quicker then expected because...well.. you can't market something like 4K without content. A lot of current stuff being done in 1080p will just have to stay that way, I hope to god they don't implement up-scaling in TV to compensate for the 1080p content on 4K but instead switch to say...1080p mode for 1080p content then 4K when 4K content is on, if that makes sense?
The final option would be that such a recession would lead to the pro-longing of 4K on the consumer level happening for a little longer than expected.
The recent adoptions of HD by the TV Industry and the upgrading of the pipelines I'm sure they had to do to make that happen is pretty recent as you say. So I'm guessing that we may see the third option happen but Stuart from RED said in the Scarlet forum on one of the threads (can't remember off the top of my head) when I mentioned that content delivery was going to take a while for web and so on, that I was off with my 10 year estimation and it would be much sooner. So probably RED has a method up their sleeve. If anything Jannard knows the economic situation so I'm sure he has a way in which to push 4K to the consumer level a lot faster and have everyone going 4K pretty quickly, as already seen with Canon and Sony as well as every other manufacturer trying to throw out a 4K camera by end of next year or the year after.
I'd love to see stuff like Bladerunner and the like at 4K resolution. It'd be so damn awesome. It'd probably be the only thing holding me back from getting 4K is the fact I have nothing to watch @ 4K. Well apart from Tom's TimeScapes trailer...but I'd prefer to see that sort of thing in the IMAX.
I can't imagine broadcasters being able to do 4K content that easily though any time soon, personally I'm thinking we'd go 2K then 4K. So basically another double dip.
))
